7th SIPTA Summer School

Programme

The school runs from Monday 29 August until Friday 2 September 2016. The morning lectures run from 9:00 to 12:30, and the afternoon lectures from 14:00 to 17:30. All lectures take place in room CM107 of the Mathematical Sciences department of Durham University.

The last day of the school overlaps with the WPMSIIP workshop, and will give all participants the possibility to interact with the wider imprecise community. We hope that several leading researchers will be present for the discussions, and also that some of the topics the students work on are of further interest to the WPMSIIP workshop. On the evening of 1 September, there will be a gala dinner.

All lectures will be given in English. Most lectures will be 3h30 long, including a coffee break. We aim for each lecture to be evenly split into theory and exercises. All the school materials (slides, videos, exercises, …) will also be available after the school on this website.

Sunday 28 August

Informal get-together in town. Leaving from the entrance of Collingwood College at 18:30.

Fluffy Monday 29 August

• 9:00-10:30 Matthias Troffaes: Introductory overview of some applications. Breakout discussion about what is uncertainty and how we can deal with it. Foundations of imprecise probability.
• 10:30-11:00 Coffee break.
• 11:00-12:30 Matthias Troffaes (continued)
• 12:45-13:45 Warm lunch.
• 14:00-15:30 Student presentations.
• 15:30-16:00 Coffee break.
• 16:00-17:30 Student presentations (continued).

Robust Tuesday 30 August

• 9:00-10:30 Gero Walter: Robust Bayesian statistics. Applications in reliability networks.
• 10:30-11:00 Coffee break.
• 11:00-12:30 Gero Walter (continued)
• 12:45-13:45 Warm lunch.
• 14:00-15:30 Edoardo Patelli: Introductory examples of imprecise probability in engineering.
• 15:30-16:00 Coffee break.
• 16:00-17:30 Ullrika Sahlin: Introductory examples of imprecise probability in environmental risk analysis.

Theoretical Wednesday 31 August

• 9:00-10:30 Matthias Troffaes: Decision making under severe uncertainty. Applications in classification and risk analysis.
• 10:30-11:00 Coffee break.
• 11:00-12:30 Matthias Troffaes (continued)
• 12:45-13:45 Warm lunch.
• 14:00-17:30 Gero Walter: Bayesian hierarchical modelling. Simulation and MCMC.
• 15:30-16:00 Coffee break.
• 16:00-17:30 Gero Walter (continued)

Applied Thursday 1 September

• 9:00-12:30 Ullrika Sahlin: Robust evidence synthesis. Examples in meta-analysis.
• 10:30-11:00 Coffee break.
• 11:00-12:30 Ullrika Sahlin (continued)
• 12:45-13:45 Warm lunch.
• 14:00-16:00 Edoardo Patelli: Advanced examples of imprecise simulation in engineering.
• 16:00-16:30 Coffee break.
• 16:30-17:30 Feedback session.
• 18:00-20:00 Formal dinner. WPMSIIP participants also welcome to join.

Reflective Friday 2 September

• 9:00-10:30 Edoardo Patelli: Advanced examples of imprecise simulation in engineering (continued).
• 10:30-11:00 Coffee break.
• 11:00-12:00 Reflective group discussion about imprecise probability research questions and challenges for the next decade.
• 12:00-13:00 Sandwich lunch.
• 13:00-14:30 Walk to Durham brewery.
• 14:30-16:00 Durham brewery visit.
• 16:00-17:30 Walk back to Durham.